Phillip Rivers is no stranger to playoff heartbreak in Indianapolis.
His San Diego Chargers stunned the Colts one year after Indy’s Super Bowl victory, coming into the RCA Dome in January 2008 and stealing a 28-24 divisional round victory.
Thirteen years later, Rivers is again a key player in the Colts’ playoff hopes – this time as their quarterback.
Now, he hopes to give those same fans joy.
To do that, a similar upset will be needed.
Rivers and his Colts hope to play spoiler in Buffalo on Saturday against a Bills squad that ended the regular season one of the hottest and most complete teams in the NFL.
Let’s take a look at where the odds stand.
Colts head to Buffalo as Wild Card underdogs
The seventh-seeded Colts will enter the weekend’s first game (1:05 p.m. Saturday, CBS) as roughly a touchdown underdog against the Bills.
Each of Indiana’s five-most popular sportsbooks have the Colts’ spread at +6.5.
Most, including top-ranked DraftKings, have dropped from their opening line of +7, indicating sharp money moving on the Colts.
The Colts, winners of six of their final eight games, have reasons for optimism in covering a touchdown line.
They bring to Buffalo numerous stars alongside Rivers, including RB Jonathon Taylor, who rushed for 253 yards in Week 17, and LB Darius Leonard. They’ve defeated quarterbacks like Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson (twice) during an 11-5 season.
With them is hope that their top-10 defense can slow down a Bills offense fresh off a 56-point output in Week 17.
To do that, they’ll need to suffocate league-leading receiver Stefon Diggs and quarterback Josh Allen, a league MVP candidate. They’ll also rely on their running game to limit possessions and hope Rivers avoids turnovers.
But winning the game is a different story than covering a spread.
And sportsbooks don’t give them much of a shot at the upset.
Here is the moneyline and over/under for the state’s top five sportsbooks (as of Wednesday):
- DraftKings: Colts +260/Bills -305/51
- FanDuel: Colts +240/Bills -295/51
- BetMGM: Colts +260/Bills -300/50.5
- BetRivers: Colts +260/Bills -305/51
- PointsBet: Colts +240/Bills -301/51
Player props, meanwhile, are available for bettors more confident in predicting individual performances.
On BetMGM, for example, bettors can snag Rivers’ over/under passing at 266.5 yards and 1.5 touchdowns.
Other player props include T.Y. Hilton’s receiving yards (53.5), Leonard’s tackles-plus-assists (9.5), and even Rodrigo Blankenship’s kicking points (6.5).
Pick up free money from DraftKings
DraftKings has emerged with one of its No-Brainer promos for Super Wild Card Weekend.
New and existing users can bet with +100 odds on “any team to score a touchdown” during the weekend. The max bet is $25.
In other words, bettors can double their $25 as long as a single touchdown is scored in any of the weekend’s six games.
That’s as close to a guarantee as they come—so enjoy the free money. Just be sure to take advantage of the promo before the Colts and Bills kick off at 1:05 p.m.
FanDuel, PointsBet roll out promos as well
On FanDuel, meanwhile, bettors can get same-game parlay insurance for up to a $25 bet. A refund in site credit will be given if only one leg loses.
Colts fans can bet that Indy will cover the 6.5 spread and score more than 21.5 points, with a game total above 51. If two legs hit and just one loses, bettors will get their money back.
There are two requirements: bets must include at least three legs and the final odds must end at +200 or longer.
On the other hand, PointsBet is offering “no juice” spread odds the entire weekend.
That means all spreads will be offered at +100 instead of the typical -110.
Also be sure to keep an eye on Indiana sportsbooks for Colts-centric promos as Saturday creeps closer. Playoff time is often promo time for the hometown team.