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Football Is Over, But Not Too Early To Start Betting The 2020 NFL Draft

The Draft is still months away, but most Indiana Sportsbooks have odds up on Joe Burrow, Chase Young, and other top NFL prospects.

If there’s any consolation for Cincinnati Bengals fans, it’s that the Kansas City Chiefs’ Super Bowl win brought the 2019 season to an end.

Translation: It’s time to look forward to the draft.

And Bengals fans, along with anyone inside Indiana’s borders, can place bets on a variety of Draft Day props, thanks to the Indiana Gaming Commission’s decision to allow NFL Draft bets. Prominent in most folks’ minds, of course, is Joe Burrow to the Bengals with the first pick.

Burrow the favorite at No. 1

There isn’t much doubt among pundits and personalities that Louisiana State University QB Joe Burrow will be the first pick in the draft.
Current starter Andy Dalton was the team’s 2nd-round pick in 2011. Dalton’s career record is 70-61-2. His QB rating is 87, and he’s thrown 204 TDs against 118 INTs. He’s a three-time Pro Bowl QB and 23 games over .500 through his first five seasons.
However, Dalton’s past four seasons have been sub-standard. His record over that time is 20-35-1. Also, Dalton’s playoff record is 0-4. To top it off, this past season coach Zac Taylor benched Dalton in the middle of the season.

Rookie Ryan Finley showed little to convince the Bengals brass the QB position had hope. Finley went 0-3 with a 47.1% completion percentage before going back to the bench.

All this turmoil made it clear that the Bengals needed a franchise quarterback. Burrow’s chances of being that man increased every week during his senior season at LSU. He finished the season undefeated, won the Heisman Trophy, and led the Tigers to a national championship.

He finished the season throwing for more than 5,600 yards and 60 TDs.

With all this in mind, oddsmakers have Burrow as the unquestionable selection for the Bengals. FanDuel has Burrow at -7,000, which would pay out $14.29 on a $1,000 bet. DraftKings has a -10,000 line on Burrow at No. 1, paying out $10 on a $1,000 bet.

FanDuel has Ohio State edge rusher Chase Young at +1,500 to go first, while Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa is +2,000 to be the No. 1 pick.

DraftKings, on the other hand, has Tagovailoa as the second most-likely to go first at +1600, with Young third at +200.

Chase Young favored to go second

Young is the favorite to go second to the Washington Redskins, according to FanDuel’s lines. The line on Young is -380, which pays out $263.13 on a $1,000  bet.

The lines have Tagovailoa next at +250, followed by Oregon Ducks QB Justin Herbert at +1,500.

DraftKings has Young at -400, Tagovailoa at +265, and Burrow at +3,300.

Young was a monster on defense for the Buckeyes in 2019, notching 16.5 sacks, 21 tackles for loss, and seven forced fumbles. Young tallied nine tackles for loss and seven sacks in a two-game stretch against Wisconsin and Penn State.

Many experts see Young going to the Redskins, although the Redskins weren’t hurting for sacks this past season. The team was tenth in the league with 46 sacks, just eight behind the league-leading Pittsburgh Steelers.

Tua, Okudah vying for third pick

Between FanDuel and DraftKings, only FanDuel is offering lines on the third pick. At the time of publishing, Tagovailoa was the favorite at +130, with Ohio State DB Jeff Okudah at +170 and Young at +320.

Barring any trades, the Detroit Lions will pick third. The odds have Tagovailoa as the slight favorite. Either way, both picks are interesting ones.

The Lions have a franchise QB in Matthew Stafford. However, Stafford is in the third year of a massive contract that puts the Lions on the hook for a $70 million cap hit over the next three seasons. Drafting Tagovailoa would seem to be the Lions’ way of grooming their future QB with the hopes of unloading Stafford via a trade.

Detroit has huge issues in the secondary, though. The Lions had a league-low seven INTs this past season and gave up a league-worst 284.4 yards per game. Because of this, Okudah makes sense. He could be the cornerstone of the Lions pass defense, especially considering the Lions traded away their best defensive back, Darius Slay.

As for trade probabilities, the Dolphins, who are looking for a QB, don’t have to worry about the New York Giants picking a QB. That would leave them with the choice between Tagovailoa and Herbert. However, if the Chargers are intent on getting Tagovailoa, they made trade up to the Lions or Giants to ensure they get their man.

Other NFL Draft bets

Between FanDuel and DraftKings, bettors in Indiana can put money on the following prop bets:

  • Position played by the Jets, Giants, Eagles and Colts’ first pick (FanDuel)
  • Draft position by player (FanDuel/DraftKings)
  • First WR drafted (FanDuel)
  • Exact outcome of first three picks (FanDuel/DraftKings)
  • Second defensive player drafted (DraftKings)
  • Total SEC players drafted in the first round (FanDuel)

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